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Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and statistics
Wales · Premier League · 29 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Cardiff MET 1.6, Haverfordwest County AFC 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 37%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 66%, typical match 63%.
Form
Cardiff MET: last five matches — D-W-L-W-D.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Haverfordwest County AFC: last five matches — D-L-L-L-D.
- 11 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Cardiff MET — 10, Haverfordwest County AFC — 11 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cardiff MET at home and Haverfordwest County AFC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cardiff MET | Haverfordwest County AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 37 | 37 |
| Win rate | 38% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 32% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 35% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 31% | 31% |
Head to head
23 meetings in our database: Cardiff MET won 6, 10 draws, Haverfordwest County AFC won 7. Per match: 2.0 goals, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 13.03.2026: Haverfordwest County AFC 1:0 Cardiff MET
- 23.01.2026: Cardiff MET 0:2 Haverfordwest County AFC
- 30.12.2025: Cardiff MET 0:0 Haverfordwest County AFC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 34%.