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Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo: prediction and statistics
Uruguay · Primera División · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 6.2 yellow cards: Central Espanol 3.1, Liverpool Montevideo 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 74% (typical match — 64%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 74%, typical match 64%.
Result
Market line without margin: Central Espanol win 22%, draw 29%, Liverpool Montevideo win 49%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
Central Espanol: last five matches — D-W-L-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
Liverpool Montevideo: last five matches — W-D-W-D-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Central Espanol — 8, Liverpool Montevideo — 7 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Central Espanol at home and Liverpool Montevideo away, 2024–2026.
| Central Espanol | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 35 |
| Win rate | 40% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.9 | 5.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 80% | 66% |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Central Espanol won 1, 2 draws, Liverpool Montevideo won 2. Per match: 3.4 goals, 8.5 yellow cards.
- 02.08.2026: Central Espanol 0:0 Liverpool Montevideo
- 24.03.2026: Liverpool Montevideo 3:3 Central Espanol
- 21.03.2015: Central Espanol 3:2 Liverpool Montevideo
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our model expects 6.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 74%.
Who is more likely to win Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Market line without margin: Central Espanol 22%, draw 29%, Liverpool Montevideo 49%.