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Chapelton vs Racing United: prediction and statistics
Jamaica · Premier League · 9 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Chapelton · Racing United
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of Chapelton’s home matches and 50% of Racing United’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Racing United: 5 wins in 6 meetings with Chapelton.
- Racing United is the more likely winner in our model: 56%, draw 24%.
Result
Final score 0:0.
Result
Our model: Chapelton win 21%, draw 24%, Racing United win 56%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Chapelton: last five matches — W-L-W-L-W.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Racing United: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 4 wins in a row · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Chapelton — 10, Racing United — 3 (of 14).
Team statistics for three seasons
Chapelton at home and Racing United away, 2024–2026.
| Chapelton | Racing United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 44 |
| Win rate | 33% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 48% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 23% | 20% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Chapelton won 0, 1 draws, Racing United won 5. Per match: 2.0 goals, 3.4 yellow cards.
- 19.03.2026: Racing United 3:0 Chapelton
- 23.02.2026: Racing United 2:0 Chapelton
- 10.12.2025: Chapelton 0:0 Racing United
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Chapelton vs Racing United?
Our model: Chapelton 21%, draw 24%, Racing United 56%.