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Chesterfield vs Tranmere: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 3 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Chesterfield 5.7, Tranmere 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 60%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Chesterfield 1.4, Tranmere 2.6; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 38% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 51%.
Result
Market line without margin: Chesterfield win 53%, draw 26%, Tranmere win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Chesterfield: last five matches — D-D-W-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Tranmere: last five matches — L-D-D-L-D.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Chesterfield — 11, Tranmere — 10 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Chesterfield at home and Tranmere away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Chesterfield | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 50 |
| Win rate | 42% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 42% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Chesterfield won 3, 3 draws, Tranmere won 3. Per match: 2.5 goals, 9.5 corners, 4.0 yellow cards.
- 11.04.2026: Chesterfield 1:1 Tranmere
- 25.10.2025: Tranmere 1:1 Chesterfield
- 05.04.2025: Tranmere 4:0 Chesterfield
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 38%.
Who is more likely to win Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Market line without margin: Chesterfield 53%, draw 26%, Tranmere 21%.