XpectXpect

Chrobry Głogów vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and statistics

Poland · I liga · 20 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

I liga, 20 November 2026: Chrobry Głogów are at home to Puszcza Niepołomice. They are neighbours in the table: Chrobry Głogów are 14th and Puszcza Niepołomice 16th of 18. Puszcza Niepołomice are in the bottom three.

An uneven run for Chrobry Głogów: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Results have gone against Puszcza Niepołomice recently — 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. In points that is almost level: 5 against 4.

At home (2024/25–2026/27) Chrobry Głogów have 15 wins, 14 draws and 13 defeats in 42 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of Puszcza Niepołomice: 6 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats in 23 matches, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average.

Head to head there is no clear master over 12 meetings — wins: Chrobry Głogów 3, Puszcza Niepołomice 6; draws: 3. The most recent meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Chrobry Głogów 1:2 Puszcza Niepołomice. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.

Form

Chrobry Głogów: last five matches — D-L-L-W-D.

Puszcza Niepołomice: last five matches — L-L-W-L-D.

Table: Chrobry Głogów — 14, Puszcza Niepołomice — 16 (of 18).

Home and away record

Chrobry Głogów at home and Puszcza Niepołomice away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Chrobry GłogówPuszcza Niepołomice
Matches4223
Wins · draws · losses15-14-136-8-9
Goals scored per match1.31.3
Goals conceded per match1.31.5

Head to head

12 meetings in our database: Chrobry Głogów won 3, 3 draws, Puszcza Niepołomice won 6. Per match: 2.5 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • No clear favourite in our model: 43% – 25% – 31%.
  • Over 2.5 goals happened in 52% of Chrobry Głogów’s home matches and 61% of Puszcza Niepołomice’s away matches over three seasons.

Yellow cards

61%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Chrobry Głogów 1.8, Puszcza Niepołomice 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 40% (typical match — 49%).

Result

Our model: Chrobry Głogów win 43%, draw 25%, Puszcza Niepołomice win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 55%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Chrobry GłogówPuszcza Niepołomice
Win rate36%26%
Over 2.5 goals52%61%
Both teams score57%61%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match4.34.5
Over 4.5 yellow cards48%48%

Head to head

Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.5 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Full prediction · cancel any time