Cibao vs Salcedo: prediction and statistics

Dominican Republic · Liga Mayor · 6 November 2026 · kick-off 23:00 UTC

Team stats: Cibao · Salcedo

Key facts

• 5 of the 10 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
• Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 51% of Cibao home games and 63% of Salcedo away games.
• Our model sees an open game: Cibao 45%, draw 28%, Salcedo 28%.

Result

Our model: Cibao win 45%, draw 28%, Salcedo win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 45%.

Form

Cibao: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.

• 4 matches unbeaten · at home
• 3 wins in a row · at home
• 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home

Salcedo: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.

• 17 matches unbeaten · all competitions
• 7 wins in a row · all competitions
• 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions

Table: Cibao — 2, Salcedo — 1 (of 8).

Team statistics for three seasons

Cibao at home and Salcedo away, 2024–2026.

Head to head

10 meetings in our database: Cibao won 4, 5 draws, Salcedo won 1. Per match: 1.8 goals, 0.4 yellow cards.

• 23.09.2026: Salcedo 0:0 Cibao
• 10.09.2026: Salcedo 1:1 Cibao
• 24.05.2026: Cibao 2:1 Salcedo

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers