Xpect
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Primera Nacional · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Ciudad de Bolívar 2.1, Chaco For Ever 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 46%.
Result
Market line without margin: Ciudad de Bolívar win 39%, draw 34%, Chaco For Ever win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 39%.
Form
Ciudad de Bolívar: last five matches — D-L-D-W-D.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Chaco For Ever: last five matches — W-L-L-D-D.
- 7 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Ciudad de Bolívar — 19, Chaco For Ever — 21 (of 36).
Team statistics for three seasons
Ciudad de Bolívar at home and Chaco For Ever away, 2024–2026.
| Ciudad de Bolívar | Chaco For Ever | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 52 |
| Win rate | 27% | 15% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 19% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 19% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 53% | 46% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Ciudad de Bolívar won 1, 0 draws, Chaco For Ever won 0. Per match: 1.0 goals, 5.0 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Chaco For Ever 0:1 Ciudad de Bolívar
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.
Who is more likely to win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever?
Market line without margin: Ciudad de Bolívar 39%, draw 34%, Chaco For Ever 27%.