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Club America vs Monterrey: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.1 corners in the match: Club America 5.5, Monterrey 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 55% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 55%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Club America 2.0, Monterrey 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Club America win 51%, draw 25%, Monterrey win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
Club America: last five matches — W-W-W-D-D.
- 10 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
Monterrey: last five matches — W-L-D-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · away
Table: Club America — 2, Monterrey — 10 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Club America at home and Monterrey away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Club America | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 46 | 44 |
| Win rate | 65% | 34% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 57% |
| Both teams score | 41% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 9.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 36% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 26% | 39% |
Head to head
30 meetings in our database: Club America won 11, 7 draws, Monterrey won 12. Per match: 2.5 goals, 10.8 corners, 4.4 yellow cards.
- 03.09.2026: Club America 2:2 Monterrey
- 08.02.2026: Club America 1:0 Monterrey
- 29.11.2025: Club America 2:1 Monterrey
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Club America vs Monterrey?
Our model expects 10.1 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 55%.
How many yellow cards in Club America vs Monterrey?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 43%.
Who is more likely to win Club America vs Monterrey?
Market line without margin: Club America 51%, draw 25%, Monterrey 24%.