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Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta: prediction and statistics
Paraguay · Primera División · 30 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2.0, Deportivo Recoleta 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 53%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 52%, typical match 47%.
Form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 11 matches without a win · all competitions
- 10 losses in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Deportivo Recoleta: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 9 losses in a row · all competitions
- 9 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Club Sp. San Lorenzo — 12, Deportivo Recoleta — 9 (of 12).
Team statistics for three seasons
Club Sp. San Lorenzo at home and Deportivo Recoleta away, 2024–2026.
| Club Sp. San Lorenzo | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 38 |
| Win rate | 13% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 31% | 63% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 9.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.0 | 3.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 44% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 0, 1 draws, Deportivo Recoleta won 2. Per match: 3.7 goals, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 25.07.2026: Deportivo Recoleta 1:1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- 04.04.2026: Deportivo Recoleta 4:2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- 06.02.2026: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0:3 Deportivo Recoleta
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 48%.