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Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion: prediction and statistics
Chile · Primera División · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Cobresal 5.8, Universidad de Concepcion 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards: Cobresal 2.3, Universidad de Concepcion 2.7; typical match of the competition — 5.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 62%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 73%, typical match 78%.
Result
Market line without margin: Cobresal win 44%, draw 27%, Universidad de Concepcion win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Cobresal: last five matches — D-W-L-W-W.
Universidad de Concepcion: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 10 matches without a win · away
- 6 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 losses in a row · away
Table: Cobresal — 16, Universidad de Concepcion — 15 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cobresal at home and Universidad de Concepcion away, 2024–2026.
| Cobresal | Universidad de Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 12 |
| Win rate | 54% | 8% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 58% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | 11.7 | 11.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 78% | 58% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 54% | 58% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Cobresal won 3, 1 draws, Universidad de Concepcion won 2. Per match: 2.7 goals, 10.0 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 09.05.2026: Cobresal 2:1 Universidad de Concepcion
- 13.04.2026: Universidad de Concepcion 1:0 Cobresal
- 26.03.2026: Universidad de Concepcion 2:1 Cobresal
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Our model expects 5.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 55%.
Who is more likely to win Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Market line without margin: Cobresal 44%, draw 27%, Universidad de Concepcion 30%.