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Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Primera Nacional · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Colegiales 2.3, Chacarita Juniors 2.9; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 58% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 58%, typical match 54%.
Result
Market line without margin: Colegiales win 49%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 38%.
Form
Colegiales: last five matches — W-D-W-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 wins in a row · at home
Chacarita Juniors: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 5 losses in a row · away
Table: Colegiales — 17, Chacarita Juniors — 34 (of 36).
Team statistics for three seasons
Colegiales at home and Chacarita Juniors away, 2024–2026.
| Colegiales | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 32 | 51 |
| Win rate | 63% | 24% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 26% |
| Both teams score | 25% | 31% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 63% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Colegiales won 0, 0 draws, Chacarita Juniors won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals, 1.0 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Chacarita Juniors 2:0 Colegiales
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 58%.
Who is more likely to win Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors?
Market line without margin: Colegiales 49%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors 20%.