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Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Colorado Rapids 5.7, Minnesota United FC 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 54%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Colorado Rapids 1.9, Minnesota United FC 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Colorado Rapids win 47%, draw 26%, Minnesota United FC win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 61%.
Form
Colorado Rapids: last five matches — W-W-W-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Minnesota United FC: last five matches — D-W-L-L-L.
- 10 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Colorado Rapids — 14, Minnesota United FC — 26 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Colorado Rapids at home and Minnesota United FC away, 2024–2026.
| Colorado Rapids | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 52 |
| Win rate | 56% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 65% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 25% | 19% |
Head to head
22 meetings in our database: Colorado Rapids won 9, 4 draws, Minnesota United FC won 9. Per match: 3.2 goals, 9.9 corners, 4.3 yellow cards.
- 14.05.2026: Minnesota United FC 0:1 Colorado Rapids
- 28.09.2025: Colorado Rapids 1:1 Minnesota United FC
- 10.08.2025: Minnesota United FC 1:2 Colorado Rapids
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 43%.
Who is more likely to win Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
Market line without margin: Colorado Rapids 47%, draw 26%, Minnesota United FC 27%.