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Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Colorado Rapids 5.6, San Jose Earthquakes 4.6. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 56%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Colorado Rapids 2.0, San Jose Earthquakes 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 66%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Colorado Rapids win 48%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Colorado Rapids: last five matches — W-W-W-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
San Jose Earthquakes: last five matches — L-L-D-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Colorado Rapids — 14, San Jose Earthquakes — 7 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Colorado Rapids at home and San Jose Earthquakes away, 2024–2026.
| Colorado Rapids | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 47 |
| Win rate | 56% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 66% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 72% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 61% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 25% | 43% |
Head to head
33 meetings in our database: Colorado Rapids won 10, 10 draws, San Jose Earthquakes won 13. Per match: 2.2 goals, 10.1 corners, 3.5 yellow cards.
- 21.05.2026: Colorado Rapids 2:0 San Jose Earthquakes
- 11.05.2025: Colorado Rapids 0:2 San Jose Earthquakes
- 16.03.2025: San Jose Earthquakes 1:2 Colorado Rapids
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.
Who is more likely to win Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Market line without margin: Colorado Rapids 48%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 27%.