Xpect
Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 14 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Columbus Crew 6.0, Charlotte 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Columbus Crew 2.0, Charlotte 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Columbus Crew win 47%, draw 25%, Charlotte win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Columbus Crew: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Charlotte: last five matches — D-W-W-D-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: Columbus Crew — 25, Charlotte — 10 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Columbus Crew at home and Charlotte away, 2024–2026.
| Columbus Crew | Charlotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 50 | 50 |
| Win rate | 52% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 8.4 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 34% | 48% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 34% | 46% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Columbus Crew won 2, 3 draws, Charlotte won 4. Per match: 3.6 goals, 8.9 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.
- 15.08.2026: Charlotte 3:1 Columbus Crew
- 24.05.2025: Charlotte 3:2 Columbus Crew
- 03.05.2025: Columbus Crew 4:2 Charlotte
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
Our model expects 9.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 53%.
How many yellow cards in Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 43%.
Who is more likely to win Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?
Market line without margin: Columbus Crew 47%, draw 25%, Charlotte 28%.