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Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami: prediction and statistics
USA · MLS · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Columbus Crew 5.3, Inter Miami 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 48% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 52%, typical match 46%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Columbus Crew 1.6, Inter Miami 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 58%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Columbus Crew win 33%, draw 24%, Inter Miami win 43%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 71%.
Form
Columbus Crew: last five matches — L-L-W-L-W.
Inter Miami: last five matches — W-W-L-D-D.
- 12 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Columbus Crew — 27, Inter Miami — 3 (of 30).
Team statistics for three seasons
Columbus Crew at home and Inter Miami away, 2024–2026.
| Columbus Crew | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 50 |
| Win rate | 51% | 56% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 76% |
| Both teams score | 59% | 74% |
| Total corners per match | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 33% | 32% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 33% | 56% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Columbus Crew won 3, 2 draws, Inter Miami won 7. Per match: 3.3 goals, 9.3 corners, 3.2 yellow cards.
- 01.08.2026: Inter Miami 2:2 Columbus Crew
- 31.05.2025: Inter Miami 5:1 Columbus Crew
- 19.04.2025: Columbus Crew 0:1 Inter Miami
Referee
Victor Rivas: 148 matches in our database, 4.5 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.2); over 4.5 cards in 50% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?
Our model expects 9.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 48%.
How many yellow cards in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?
Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.
Who is more likely to win Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?
Market line without margin: Columbus Crew 33%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 43%.