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Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and statistics
Wales · Premier League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Colwyn Bay 1.7, Haverfordwest County AFC 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 37%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 66%, typical match 63%.
Result
Market line without margin: Colwyn Bay win 57%, draw 24%, Haverfordwest County AFC win 18%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Colwyn Bay: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Haverfordwest County AFC: last five matches — D-L-L-L-D.
- 11 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Colwyn Bay — 6, Haverfordwest County AFC — 11 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Colwyn Bay at home and Haverfordwest County AFC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Colwyn Bay | Haverfordwest County AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 37 |
| Win rate | 50% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 32% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 35% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 32% | 31% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Colwyn Bay won 1, 1 draws, Haverfordwest County AFC won 4. Per match: 2.7 goals, 3.8 yellow cards.
- 15.11.2025: Haverfordwest County AFC 1:0 Colwyn Bay
- 13.09.2025: Colwyn Bay 3:0 Haverfordwest County AFC
- 13.04.2024: Haverfordwest County AFC 3:1 Colwyn Bay
Referee
T. Owen: 55 matches in our database, 2.5 yellow cards per match (competition average 3.6); over 4.5 cards in 18% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 34%.
Who is more likely to win Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Market line without margin: Colwyn Bay 57%, draw 24%, Haverfordwest County AFC 18%.