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Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College: prediction and statistics

Peru · Primera División · 10 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

58%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.0 corners in the match: Comerciantes Unidos 5.0, Juan Pablo II College 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 42% (typical match — 51%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 58%, typical match 49%.

Yellow cards

51%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Comerciantes Unidos 2.3, Juan Pablo II College 2.3; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 58%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 42%.

Result

Market line without margin: Comerciantes Unidos win 51%, draw 27%, Juan Pablo II College win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Form

Comerciantes Unidos: last five matches — D-D-W-L-L.

Juan Pablo II College: last five matches — D-L-L-W-W.

Table: Comerciantes Unidos — 14, Juan Pablo II College — 12 (of 18).

Team statistics for three seasons

Comerciantes Unidos at home and Juan Pablo II College away, 2024–2026.

Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College
Matches4831
Win rate31%16%
Goals scored per match1.10.9
Goals conceded per match1.12.3
Over 2.5 goals42%61%
Both teams score54%52%
Total corners per match8.39.4
Over 9.5 corners33%48%
Total yellow cards per match4.74.1
Over 4.5 yellow cards48%29%

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Comerciantes Unidos won 2, 2 draws, Juan Pablo II College won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals, 9.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

Our model expects 9.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 42%.

How many yellow cards in Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.

Who is more likely to win Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

Market line without margin: Comerciantes Unidos 51%, draw 27%, Juan Pablo II College 23%.

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