Cordoba vs Tenerife: prediction and statistics
Spain · Segunda · 5 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Cordoba 5.7, Tenerife 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 46%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Cordoba 2.1, Tenerife 2.6; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 57%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 71%, typical match 75%.
Result
Market line without margin: Cordoba win 48%, draw 28%, Tenerife win 24%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Cordoba: last five matches — D-L-W-L-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Tenerife: last five matches — W-D-W-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Cordoba — 18, Tenerife — 10 (of 22).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cordoba at home and Tenerife away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cordoba | Tenerife | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 24 |
| Win rate | 40% | 8% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 53% | 33% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.4 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 46% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Cordoba won 5, 1 draws, Tenerife won 2. Per match: 2.9 goals, 12.0 corners, 6.3 yellow cards.
- 15.02.2025: Tenerife 2:3 Cordoba
- 08.12.2024: Cordoba 3:0 Tenerife
- 09.02.2019: Tenerife 0:2 Cordoba
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Cordoba vs Tenerife?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.
How many yellow cards in Cordoba vs Tenerife?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 52%.
Who is more likely to win Cordoba vs Tenerife?
Market line without margin: Cordoba 48%, draw 28%, Tenerife 24%.