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Coritiba vs Botafogo: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie A · 12 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.2 corners in the match: Coritiba 5.3, Botafogo 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 56% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 56%, typical match 54%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Coritiba 1.9, Botafogo 2.9; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 72%.
Result
Market line without margin: Coritiba win 36%, draw 28%, Botafogo win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Form
Coritiba: last five matches — L-W-W-L-D.
- 5 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Botafogo: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 4 losses in a row · away
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Coritiba — 9, Botafogo — 12 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Coritiba at home and Botafogo away, 2024–2026.
| Coritiba | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 52 |
| Win rate | 36% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | 10.4 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 36% | 65% |
Head to head
21 meetings in our database: Coritiba won 4, 6 draws, Botafogo won 11. Per match: 2.6 goals, 12.2 corners, 4.5 yellow cards.
- 12.04.2026: Botafogo 2:2 Coritiba
- 30.11.2023: Coritiba 1:1 Botafogo
- 30.07.2023: Botafogo 4:1 Coritiba
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Coritiba vs Botafogo?
Our model expects 10.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 56%.
How many yellow cards in Coritiba vs Botafogo?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.
Who is more likely to win Coritiba vs Botafogo?
Market line without margin: Coritiba 36%, draw 28%, Botafogo 35%.