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Coventry City vs Newcastle United: prediction and statistics
England · Premier League · 12 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Coventry City 5.5, Newcastle United 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Coventry City 1.6, Newcastle United 2.3; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 56%, typical match 50%.
Result
Market line without margin: Coventry City win 29%, draw 26%, Newcastle United win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Form
Coventry City: last five matches — W-W-L-L-L.
- 3 losses in a row · at home
- 3 matches without a win · at home
Newcastle United: last five matches — L-W-W-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Coventry City — 18, Newcastle United — 9 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
Coventry City at home and Newcastle United away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Coventry City | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 40 |
| Win rate | 0% | 33% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 8.0 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | 57% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 23% |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Coventry City won 3, 3 draws, Newcastle United won 10. Per match: 3.1 goals, 11.5 corners, 2.5 yellow cards.
- 13.01.2001: Newcastle United 3:1 Coventry City
- 06.09.2000: Coventry City 0:2 Newcastle United
- 29.04.2000: Newcastle United 2:0 Coventry City
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.
Who is more likely to win Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Market line without margin: Coventry City 29%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 46%.