Xpect
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.0 corners in the match: Crawley Town 4.9, Chesterfield 5.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 54% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 54%, typical match 52%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Crawley Town 2.3, Chesterfield 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 63%, typical match 51%.
Result
Market line without margin: Crawley Town win 18%, draw 23%, Chesterfield win 59%. Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 58%.
Form
Crawley Town: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · at home
- 4 losses in a row · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Chesterfield: last five matches — L-W-L-W-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Crawley Town — 24, Chesterfield — 11 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Crawley Town at home and Chesterfield away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Crawley Town | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 26 | 52 |
| Win rate | 19% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 11.8 | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 73% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 52% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Crawley Town won 1, 3 draws, Chesterfield won 2. Per match: 2.7 goals, 10.0 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.
- 21.02.2026: Crawley Town 1:1 Chesterfield
- 30.08.2025: Chesterfield 2:2 Crawley Town
- 03.02.2018: Chesterfield 1:2 Crawley Town
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Our model expects 10.0 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 54%.
How many yellow cards in Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 43%.
Who is more likely to win Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Market line without margin: Crawley Town 18%, draw 23%, Chesterfield 59%.