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CRB vs Cuiaba: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: CRB 5.5, Cuiaba 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 52% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 60%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: CRB 2.0, Cuiaba 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 46%.
Result
Market line without margin: CRB win 48%, draw 29%, Cuiaba win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
CRB: last five matches — W-D-W-W-W.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Cuiaba: last five matches — D-W-W-L-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: CRB — 8, Cuiaba — 10 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
CRB at home and Cuiaba away, 2024–2026.
| CRB | Cuiaba | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 33 |
| Win rate | 54% | 18% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 49% | 46% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 50% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: CRB won 2, 3 draws, Cuiaba won 6. Per match: 2.5 goals, 11.7 corners, 3.7 yellow cards.
- 31.05.2026: Cuiaba 2:0 CRB
- 08.09.2025: Cuiaba 1:0 CRB
- 06.05.2025: CRB 1:1 Cuiaba
Referee
Gustavo Ervino Bauermann: 47 matches in our database, 5.6 yellow cards per match (competition average 5.0); over 4.5 cards in 72% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in CRB vs Cuiaba?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 52%.
How many yellow cards in CRB vs Cuiaba?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 43%.
Who is more likely to win CRB vs Cuiaba?
Market line without margin: CRB 48%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 23%.