XpectXpect

Criciuma vs America Mineiro: prediction and statistics

Brazil · Serie B · 12 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

64%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: Criciuma 6.6, America Mineiro 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 64% (typical match — 58%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 52%, typical match 46%.

Yellow cards

53%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Criciuma 2.1, America Mineiro 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 54%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 46%.

Form

Criciuma: last five matches — L-W-L-L-W.

America Mineiro: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.

Table: Criciuma — 5, America Mineiro — 19 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Criciuma at home and America Mineiro away, 2024–2026.

CriciumaAmerica Mineiro
Matches3554
Win rate60%15%
Goals scored per match1.40.7
Goals conceded per match0.81.4
Over 2.5 goals31%44%
Both teams score37%41%
Total corners per match10.410.3
Over 9.5 corners57%65%
Total yellow cards per match5.34.8
Over 4.5 yellow cards66%54%

Head to head

13 meetings in our database: Criciuma won 2, 6 draws, America Mineiro won 5. Per match: 2.4 goals, 11.3 corners, 3.6 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

Our model expects 10.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 64%.

How many yellow cards in Criciuma vs America Mineiro?

Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.

Other matches