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Criciuma vs Avai: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.7 corners in the match: Criciuma 6.8, Avai 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 62% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 50%, typical match 46%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Criciuma 2.0, Avai 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 52%, typical match 46%.
Result
Market line without margin: Criciuma win 56%, draw 27%, Avai win 17%. Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 49%.
Form
Criciuma: last five matches — W-L-W-L-L.
- 12 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 9 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Avai: last five matches — W-W-L-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · away
Table: Criciuma — 6, Avai — 17 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Criciuma at home and Avai away, 2024–2026.
| Criciuma | Avai | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 53 |
| Win rate | 59% | 23% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 38% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | 10.5 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59% | 61% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 49% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Criciuma won 6, 2 draws, Avai won 3. Per match: 2.2 goals, 11.1 corners, 3.1 yellow cards.
- 30.05.2026: Avai 1:2 Criciuma
- 19.10.2025: Avai 1:1 Criciuma
- 27.06.2025: Criciuma 1:2 Avai
Referee
Bruno Arleu: 39 matches in our database, 4.8 yellow cards per match (competition average 5.0); over 4.5 cards in 51% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Criciuma vs Avai?
Our model expects 10.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 62%.
How many yellow cards in Criciuma vs Avai?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.
Who is more likely to win Criciuma vs Avai?
Market line without margin: Criciuma 56%, draw 27%, Avai 17%.