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CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco: prediction and statistics
Europe · Conference League · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: CSKA Sofia 6.0, AS Monaco 3.6. In a typical match of this competition — 9.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 50% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 63%, typical match 61%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: CSKA Sofia 1.8, AS Monaco 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 36% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 64%, typical match 50%.
Result
Market line without margin: CSKA Sofia win 15%, draw 21%, AS Monaco win 64%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
CSKA Sofia: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
AS Monaco: last five matches — L-W-W-W-D.
- 8 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
CSKA Sofia at home and AS Monaco away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| CSKA Sofia | AS Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Win rate | — | 100% |
| Goals scored per match | — | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | — | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 100% |
| Both teams score | — | 100% |
| Total corners per match | — | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | 0% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 50%.
How many yellow cards in CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 36%.
Who is more likely to win CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?
Market line without margin: CSKA Sofia 15%, draw 21%, AS Monaco 64%.