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Cucuta vs Llaneros: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera A · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Cucuta 5.1, Llaneros 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.8 yellow cards: Cucuta 2.6, Llaneros 3.2; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 69% (typical match — 67%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 69%, typical match 67%.
Result
Market line without margin: Cucuta win 40%, draw 30%, Llaneros win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Cucuta: last five matches — D-D-W-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Llaneros: last five matches — D-D-W-L-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: Cucuta — 17, Llaneros — 14 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cucuta at home and Llaneros away, 2024–2026.
| Cucuta | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 35 |
| Win rate | 31% | 26% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 69% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 9.8 | 11.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 69% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.8 | 5.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 69% | 57% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Cucuta won 5, 8 draws, Llaneros won 5. Per match: 2.1 goals, 8.0 corners, 2.1 yellow cards.
- 17.03.2026: Llaneros 2:2 Cucuta
- 11.09.2024: Cucuta 0:1 Llaneros
- 31.05.2024: Cucuta 1:3 Llaneros
Referee
Jonnathan Ortiz: 21 matches in our database, 5.2 yellow cards per match (competition average 5.6); over 4.5 cards in 57% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Cucuta vs Llaneros?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Cucuta vs Llaneros?
Our model expects 5.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 69%.
Who is more likely to win Cucuta vs Llaneros?
Market line without margin: Cucuta 40%, draw 30%, Llaneros 30%.