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Czechia vs England: prediction and statistics

Europe · Nations League · 29 September 2026 · kick-off

Corners

56%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Czechia 4.8, England 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 42%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 57%, typical match 55%.

Yellow cards

65%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Czechia 1.9, England 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 35% (typical match — 43%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 65%, typical match 57%.

Result

Market line without margin: Czechia win 14%, draw 20%, England win 66%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 49%.

Form

Czechia: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.

England: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.

Team statistics for three seasons

Czechia at home and England away, 2024–2026.

CzechiaEngland
Matches167
Win rate75%100%
Goals scored per match2.43.0
Goals conceded per match0.80.1
Over 2.5 goals63%57%
Both teams score69%14%
Total corners per match10.28.9
Over 9.5 corners55%43%
Total yellow cards per match3.83.5
Over 4.5 yellow cards38%50%

Head to head

3 meetings in our database: Czechia won 1, 0 draws, England won 2. Per match: 3.0 goals, 7.7 corners, 2.3 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Czechia vs England?

Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 44%.

How many yellow cards in Czechia vs England?

Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 35%.

Who is more likely to win Czechia vs England?

Market line without margin: Czechia 14%, draw 20%, England 66%.

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