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De Graafschap vs Den Bosch: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 27 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: De Graafschap 5.6, Den Bosch 5.2. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 63% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 51%, typical match 43%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards: De Graafschap 1.5, Den Bosch 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 23% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: De Graafschap win 47%, draw 22%, Den Bosch win 30%. Over 2.5 goals — 74%, both teams to score — 73%.
Form
De Graafschap: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.
- 9 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 4 matches without a win · at home
Den Bosch: last five matches — L-L-L-L-L.
- 5 losses in a row · away
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: De Graafschap — 20, Den Bosch — 16 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
De Graafschap at home and Den Bosch away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| De Graafschap | Den Bosch | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 42 |
| Win rate | 57% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 71% |
| Both teams score | 69% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 11.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 63% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 26% | 34% |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: De Graafschap won 8, 6 draws, Den Bosch won 6. Per match: 2.9 goals, 11.1 corners, 2.1 yellow cards.
- 26.01.2026: De Graafschap 1:1 Den Bosch
- 31.10.2025: Den Bosch 1:2 De Graafschap
- 07.02.2025: De Graafschap 1:0 Den Bosch
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
Our model expects 10.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 63%.
How many yellow cards in De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 23%.
Who is more likely to win De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?
Market line without margin: De Graafschap 47%, draw 22%, Den Bosch 30%.