Xpect
Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Den Bosch · VVV Venlo
Before kick-off
Eerste Divisie, 20 November 2026: Den Bosch are at home to VVV Venlo. VVV Venlo sit 2nd in the 20-team table while Den Bosch are 9th, so 7 places separate the two sides. VVV Venlo are in the top three.
No defeats for Den Bosch in the last 5 games (2 wins and 3 draws). VVV Venlo arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Den Bosch have 20 wins, 16 draws and 11 defeats in 47 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of VVV Venlo: 16 wins, 7 draws and 22 defeats in 45 matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.1 per game in home matches of Den Bosch and 3.2 in away matches of VVV Venlo.
Head to head, VVV Venlo have the upper hand: 8 wins in 13 meetings with Den Bosch in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 12 December 2025, finished Den Bosch 0:1 VVV Venlo. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.
Form
Den Bosch: last five matches — W-D-W-D-D.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 7 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
VVV Venlo: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Den Bosch — 9, VVV Venlo — 2 (of 20).
Home and away record
Den Bosch at home and VVV Venlo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Den Bosch | VVV Venlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 47 | 45 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-16-11 | 16-7-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Den Bosch won 3, 2 draws, VVV Venlo won 8. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 12.12.2025: Den Bosch 0:1 VVV Venlo
- 30.09.2025: VVV Venlo 0:1 Den Bosch
- 18.04.2025: Den Bosch 0:0 VVV Venlo
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Head to head favours VVV Venlo: 8 wins in 13 meetings with Den Bosch.
- Our model expects more corners from Den Bosch: 6.2 against 4.5 for VVV Venlo.
- No clear favourite in our model: 41% – 22% – 37%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Den Bosch’s home matches and 71% of VVV Venlo’s away matches over three seasons.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.7 corners in the match: Den Bosch 6.2, VVV Venlo 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 63% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 51%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Den Bosch 1.4, VVV Venlo 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 27% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 73%, typical match 76%.
Result
Our model: Den Bosch win 41%, draw 22%, VVV Venlo win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 70%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Den Bosch | VVV Venlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 43% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 71% |
| Both teams score | 66% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 72% | 73% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 13% | 18% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 11.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.