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Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte: prediction and statistics
Argentina · Primera Nacional · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Deportivo Madryn 1.8, Central Norte 3.0; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 53% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 71%, typical match 72%.
Form
Deportivo Madryn: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 5 wins in a row · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
Central Norte: last five matches — L-L-D-D-D.
- 7 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Deportivo Madryn — 7, Central Norte — 31 (of 36).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportivo Madryn at home and Central Norte away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Madryn | Central Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 57 | 32 |
| Win rate | 61% | 16% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 22% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 25% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 59% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Deportivo Madryn won 1, 0 draws, Central Norte won 0. Per match: 5.0 goals, 4.0 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Central Norte 2:3 Deportivo Madryn
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 53%.