Xpect
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe: prediction and statistics
Colombia · Primera A · 29 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.5 corners in the match: Deportivo Pereira 4.4, Santa Fe 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 34% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 53%, typical match 44%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Deportivo Pereira 2.3, Santa Fe 2.5; typical match of the competition — 5.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 67%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 70%, typical match 82%.
Form
Deportivo Pereira: last five matches — D-W-L-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · at home
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Santa Fe: last five matches — W-D-D-L-W.
Table: Deportivo Pereira — 20, Santa Fe — 4 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportivo Pereira at home and Santa Fe away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Pereira | Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 54 | 68 |
| Win rate | 39% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 35% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 6.2 | 6.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 74% | 72% |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: Deportivo Pereira won 3, 6 draws, Santa Fe won 5. Per match: 2.7 goals, 11.3 corners, 5.9 yellow cards.
- 28.01.2026: Santa Fe 2:2 Deportivo Pereira
- 13.07.2025: Deportivo Pereira 2:2 Santa Fe
- 26.01.2025: Santa Fe 2:1 Deportivo Pereira
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Our model expects 8.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 34%.
How many yellow cards in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 52%.