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Deportivo Tachira FC vs Caracas FC: prediction and statistics
Venezuela · Primera División · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportivo Tachira FC · Caracas FC
Before kick-off
Primera División, 21 November 2026: Deportivo Tachira FC are at home to Caracas FC. Deportivo Tachira FC sit 1st in the 14-team table while Caracas FC are 9th, so 8 places separate the two sides.
Few sides are in better shape than Deportivo Tachira FC right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Caracas FC have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 11 against 10.
Deportivo Tachira FC are hard to beat on their own ground — 39 wins, 11 draws and 5 defeats in 55 home matches (2024–2026), with 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. The away record of Caracas FC: 16 wins, 18 draws and 13 defeats in 47 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded on average.
This fixture often ends level: 25 of the 42 meetings in the Xpect database were draws. The most recent meeting, on 24 October 2026, finished Caracas FC 1:2 Deportivo Tachira FC. On average these meetings produce 1.9 goals.
Form
Deportivo Tachira FC: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.
- 13 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 wins in a row · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Caracas FC: last five matches — L-W-D-W-W.
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: Deportivo Tachira FC — 1, Caracas FC — 9 (of 14).
Home and away record
Deportivo Tachira FC at home and Caracas FC away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Tachira FC | Caracas FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 55 | 47 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 39-11-5 | 16-18-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.1 |
Head to head
42 meetings in our database: Deportivo Tachira FC won 10, 25 draws, Caracas FC won 7. Per match: 1.9 goals.
- 24.10.2026: Caracas FC 1:2 Deportivo Tachira FC
- 30.08.2026: Deportivo Tachira FC 0:0 Caracas FC
- 07.03.2026: Caracas FC 0:1 Deportivo Tachira FC
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Deportivo Tachira FC is the more likely winner in our model: 65%, draw 20%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 38% of Deportivo Tachira FC’s home matches and 34% of Caracas FC’s away matches over three seasons.
- Draws are common in this fixture: 25 of 42 meetings.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.4 yellow cards: Deportivo Tachira FC 2.4, Caracas FC 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 63% (typical match — 68%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 79%, typical match 83%.
Result
Our model: Deportivo Tachira FC win 65%, draw 20%, Caracas FC win 15%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 52%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Deportivo Tachira FC | Caracas FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 71% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 34% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 45% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.8 | 6.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 71% | 77% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.