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Difaa EL Jadida vs CODM Meknès: prediction and statistics
Morocco · Botola Pro · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Difaa EL Jadida 2.3, CODM Meknès 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 66%, typical match 64%.
Result
Market line without margin: Difaa EL Jadida win 38%, draw 31%, CODM Meknès win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Difaa EL Jadida: last five matches — D-D-W-D-L.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
CODM Meknès: last five matches — D-L-L-D-L.
- 10 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Difaa EL Jadida — 6, CODM Meknès — 10 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Difaa EL Jadida at home and CODM Meknès away, 2023/24–2025/26.
| Difaa EL Jadida | CODM Meknès | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 30 | 30 |
| Win rate | 43% | 10% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 47% |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Difaa EL Jadida won 2, 1 draws, CODM Meknès won 1. Per match: 1.8 goals, 5.3 yellow cards.
- 25.04.2026: CODM Meknès 0:1 Difaa EL Jadida
- 14.09.2025: Difaa EL Jadida 0:0 CODM Meknès
- 16.03.2025: Difaa EL Jadida 2:1 CODM Meknès
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Difaa EL Jadida vs CODM Meknès?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 47%.
Who is more likely to win Difaa EL Jadida vs CODM Meknès?
Market line without margin: Difaa EL Jadida 38%, draw 31%, CODM Meknès 31%.