Discoveries vs BEA Mountain: prediction and statistics

Liberia · LFA First Division · 8 November 2026 · kick-off 16:00 UTC

Team stats: Discoveries · BEA Mountain

Key facts

• BEA Mountain is the more likely winner in our model: 57%, draw 23%.
• Over 2.5 goals happened in 39% of Discoveries’s home matches and 67% of BEA Mountain’s away matches over three seasons.

Result

Our model: Discoveries win 20%, draw 23%, BEA Mountain win 57%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 50%.

Form

Discoveries: last five matches — D-W-L-W-L.

BEA Mountain: last five matches — W-D-W-L-W.

• 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
• 4 wins in a row · all competitions
• 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions

Table: Discoveries — 7, BEA Mountain — 2 (of 15).

Team statistics for three seasons

Discoveries at home and BEA Mountain away, 2023–2025.

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Discoveries won 1, 1 draws, BEA Mountain won 2. Per match: 2.2 goals.

• 24.05.2026: Discoveries 1:2 BEA Mountain
• 16.11.2025: BEA Mountain 1:0 Discoveries
• 05.04.2025: BEA Mountain 2:2 Discoveries

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers