Xpect
Doncaster vs Stockport County: prediction and statistics
England · League One · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Doncaster · Stockport County
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Doncaster 3.6, Stockport County 6.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 57% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards: Doncaster 1.7, Stockport County 2.0; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 32% (typical match — 32%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 51%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Doncaster win 26%, draw 25%, Stockport County win 49%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Form
Doncaster: last five matches — D-L-L-W-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · all competitions
Stockport County: last five matches — W-L-W-D-W.
- 12 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Table: Doncaster — 16, Stockport County — 3 (of 25).
Team statistics for three seasons
Doncaster at home and Stockport County away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Doncaster | Stockport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 27 | 53 |
| Win rate | 37% | 40% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 45% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 55% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37% | 47% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 37% | 34% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Doncaster won 1, 2 draws, Stockport County won 5. Per match: 2.6 goals, 11.3 corners, 3.9 yellow cards.
- 08.08.2026: Stockport County 1:1 Doncaster
- 03.03.2026: Doncaster 0:1 Stockport County
- 29.12.2025: Stockport County 4:2 Doncaster
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Doncaster vs Stockport County?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 57%.
How many yellow cards in Doncaster vs Stockport County?
Our model expects 3.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 32%.
Who is more likely to win Doncaster vs Stockport County?
Our model: Doncaster 26%, draw 25%, Stockport County 49%.