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Dukagjini vs Llapi: prediction and statistics
Kosovo · Superliga · 6 November 2026 · kick-off
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 33% of Dukagjini home games and 61% of Llapi away games.
- Our model makes Dukagjini the favourite at 55%; a draw is 25%.
Result
Final score 0:1.
Result
Our model: Dukagjini win 55%, draw 25%, Llapi win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Dukagjini: last five matches — W-L-W-D-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Llapi: last five matches — L-W-L-D-D.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
Table: Dukagjini — 5, Llapi — 9 (of 10).
Team statistics for three seasons
Dukagjini at home and Llapi away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Dukagjini | Llapi | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 44 |
| Win rate | 40% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Head to head
25 meetings in our database: Dukagjini won 8, 9 draws, Llapi won 8. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 05.09.2026: Llapi 1:2 Dukagjini
- 10.05.2026: Llapi 0:0 Dukagjini
- 15.03.2026: Dukagjini 1:2 Llapi
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Dukagjini vs Llapi?
Our model: Dukagjini 55%, draw 25%, Llapi 20%.