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Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and statistics
Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Dynamo Dresden 5.5, 1. FC Magdeburg 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 58%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Dynamo Dresden 2.0, 1. FC Magdeburg 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 55%.
Result
Our model: Dynamo Dresden win 50%, draw 21%, 1. FC Magdeburg win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 68%.
Form
Dynamo Dresden: last five matches — L-W-W-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
1. FC Magdeburg: last five matches — W-W-W-L-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Dynamo Dresden — 14, 1. FC Magdeburg — 4 (of 21).
Team statistics for three seasons
Dynamo Dresden at home and 1. FC Magdeburg away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Dynamo Dresden | 1. FC Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 20 | 37 |
| Win rate | 40% | 46% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 65% |
| Both teams score | 65% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 65% | 65% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 46% |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: Dynamo Dresden won 4, 4 draws, 1. FC Magdeburg won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals, 9.7 corners, 3.0 yellow cards.
- 24.01.2026: 1. FC Magdeburg 1:2 Dynamo Dresden
- 09.08.2025: Dynamo Dresden 1:2 1. FC Magdeburg
- 06.01.2024: Dynamo Dresden 2:2 1. FC Magdeburg
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.
How many yellow cards in Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 44%.
Who is more likely to win Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
Our model: Dynamo Dresden 50%, draw 21%, 1. FC Magdeburg 29%.