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Eldense vs Oviedo: prediction and statistics

Spain · Segunda · 2 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

53%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.5 corners in the match: Eldense 5.7, Oviedo 3.8. In a typical match of this competition — 9.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 46%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 60%, typical match 59%.

Yellow cards

61%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards: Eldense 1.9, Oviedo 2.2; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 39% (typical match — 57%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 61%, typical match 43%.

Form

Eldense: last five matches — W-W-D-D-L.

Oviedo: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.

Table: Eldense — 17, Oviedo — 13 (of 22).

Team statistics for three seasons

Eldense at home and Oviedo away, 2024/25–2026/27.

EldenseOviedo
Matches2426
Win rate25%38%
Goals scored per match1.21.1
Goals conceded per match1.51.0
Over 2.5 goals58%39%
Both teams score63%46%
Total corners per match9.88.2
Over 9.5 corners42%42%
Total yellow cards per match4.65.2
Over 4.5 yellow cards46%58%

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Eldense won 0, 3 draws, Oviedo won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals, 12.8 corners, 4.8 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Eldense vs Oviedo?

Our model expects 9.5 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.

How many yellow cards in Eldense vs Oviedo?

Our model expects 4.1 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 39%.

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