Xpect
Emmen vs FC OSS: prediction and statistics
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.9 corners in the match: Emmen 6.2, FC OSS 4.7. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 65% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 53%, typical match 43%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards: Emmen 2.0, FC OSS 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 24%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 54%, typical match 43%.
Result
Market line without margin: Emmen win 60%, draw 19%, FC OSS win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
Emmen: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
FC OSS: last five matches — W-L-L-L-L.
- 7 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 4 losses in a row · away
- 4 matches without a win · away
Table: Emmen — 9, FC OSS — 18 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Emmen at home and FC OSS away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Emmen | FC OSS | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 42 |
| Win rate | 43% | 12% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 41% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 10.9 | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 62% | 71% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 39% | 36% |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Emmen won 7, 3 draws, FC OSS won 2. Per match: 2.8 goals, 9.9 corners, 2.9 yellow cards.
- 17.01.2026: FC OSS 4:0 Emmen
- 12.09.2025: Emmen 1:1 FC OSS
- 21.02.2025: FC OSS 0:4 Emmen
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Emmen vs FC OSS?
Our model expects 10.9 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 65%.
How many yellow cards in Emmen vs FC OSS?
Our model expects 3.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 34%.
Who is more likely to win Emmen vs FC OSS?
Market line without margin: Emmen 60%, draw 19%, FC OSS 21%.