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Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance: prediction and statistics
Nigeria · NPFL · 4 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Enugu Rangers · Bendel Insurance
Key facts
- Enugu Rangers is the more likely winner in our model: 72%, draw 19%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 41% of Enugu Rangers’s home matches and 47% of Bendel Insurance’s away matches over three seasons.
Result
Final score 1:0.
Result
Our model: Enugu Rangers win 72%, draw 19%, Bendel Insurance win 10%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 40%.
Form
Enugu Rangers: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 26 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 wins in a row · at home
Bendel Insurance: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Enugu Rangers — 2, Bendel Insurance — 3 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Enugu Rangers at home and Bendel Insurance away, 2025/26–2027/28.
| Enugu Rangers | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 43 |
| Win rate | 69% | 16% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 47% |
| Both teams score | 36% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 13% | 20% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Enugu Rangers won 4, 2 draws, Bendel Insurance won 2. Per match: 2.2 goals, 1.8 yellow cards.
- 10.05.2026: Enugu Rangers 2:1 Bendel Insurance
- 13.12.2025: Bendel Insurance 1:1 Enugu Rangers
- 05.04.2025: Bendel Insurance 0:0 Enugu Rangers
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?
Our model: Enugu Rangers 72%, draw 19%, Bendel Insurance 10%.