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Escorpiones Belén vs San Carlos: prediction and statistics
Costa Rica · Primera División · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Escorpiones Belén · San Carlos
Before kick-off
Primera División, 21 November 2026: Escorpiones Belén are at home to San Carlos. Escorpiones Belén go into the match 10th of 10 in the table, San Carlos are 5th. Escorpiones Belén are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
Escorpiones Belén are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. San Carlos have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 10 for San Carlos against 3 for Escorpiones Belén.
Escorpiones Belén have not made their ground a fortress: 1 win, 1 draw and 6 defeats in 8 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. The away record of San Carlos: 16 wins, 8 draws and 24 defeats in 48 matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2023, finished San Carlos 2:1 Escorpiones Belén.
Form
Escorpiones Belén: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · at home
San Carlos: last five matches — W-W-D-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Escorpiones Belén — 10, San Carlos — 5 (of 10).
Home and away record
Escorpiones Belén at home and San Carlos away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Escorpiones Belén | San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 48 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 1-1-6 | 16-8-24 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.3 | 1.6 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Escorpiones Belén won 0, 0 draws, San Carlos won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 16.08.2023: San Carlos 2:1 Escorpiones Belén
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 39% – 25% – 36%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of Escorpiones Belén’s home matches and 52% of San Carlos’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Escorpiones Belén 2.2, San Carlos 2.4; typical match of the competition — 5.2. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 59%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 41%.
Result
Our model: Escorpiones Belén win 39%, draw 25%, San Carlos win 36%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Escorpiones Belén | San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 13% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 52% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 38% | 58% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.