Xpect
Exeter City vs Rotherham: prediction and statistics
England · League Two · 3 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.8 corners in the match: Exeter City 5.4, Rotherham 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 61%, typical match 60%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards: Exeter City 1.7, Rotherham 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 31%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 52%, typical match 49%.
Result
Market line without margin: Exeter City win 37%, draw 29%, Rotherham win 34%. Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Exeter City: last five matches — W-D-D-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Rotherham: last five matches — L-D-L-W-D.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Exeter City — 21, Rotherham — 13 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Exeter City at home and Rotherham away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Exeter City | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Win rate | 25% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 25% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | 8.3 | 10.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 75% | 25% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Exeter City won 1, 1 draws, Rotherham won 4. Per match: 2.3 goals, 11.0 corners, 2.3 yellow cards.
- 31.01.2026: Exeter City 0:4 Rotherham
- 06.09.2025: Rotherham 1:0 Exeter City
- 15.03.2025: Rotherham 1:1 Exeter City
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Our model expects 9.8 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Our model expects 3.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 28%.
Who is more likely to win Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Market line without margin: Exeter City 37%, draw 29%, Rotherham 34%.