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Express vs Blacks Power: prediction and statistics
Uganda · Premier League · 5 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Express · Blacks Power
Result
Final score 3:2.
Result
Our model: Express win 49%, draw 29%, Blacks Power win 22%. Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 38%.
Form
Express: last five matches — D-W-D-L-D.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Blacks Power: last five matches — L-W-L-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Express — 12, Blacks Power — 8 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Express at home and Blacks Power away, 2024–2026.
| Express | Blacks Power | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 34 | 4 |
| Win rate | 44% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 75% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 75% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 6% | 0% |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Express won 0, 1 draws, Blacks Power won 1. Per match: 2.0 goals.
- 27.05.2023: Blacks Power 3:1 Express
- 21.12.2022: Express 0:0 Blacks Power
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Express vs Blacks Power?
Our model: Express 49%, draw 29%, Blacks Power 22%.