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Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan: prediction and statistics
Europe · Nations League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Faroe Islands 4.9, Kazakhstan 4.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 45% (typical match — 42%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 58%, typical match 55%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Faroe Islands 1.4, Kazakhstan 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 68%, typical match 57%.
Result
Market line without margin: Faroe Islands win 40%, draw 31%, Kazakhstan win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 44%.
Form
Faroe Islands: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.
- 3 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Kazakhstan: last five matches — L-D-L-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
Team statistics for three seasons
Faroe Islands at home and Kazakhstan away, 2024–2026.
| Faroe Islands | Kazakhstan | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 15 |
| Win rate | 50% | 7% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 73% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 53% |
| Total corners per match | 11.1 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 14% | 29% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Faroe Islands won 1, 0 draws, Kazakhstan won 0. Per match: 1.0 goals.
- 18.11.2025: Faroe Islands 1:0 Kazakhstan
Referee
Ishmael Barbara: 77 matches in our database, 3.6 yellow cards per match (competition average 4.7); over 4.5 cards in 34% of matches.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 45%.
How many yellow cards in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 33%.
Who is more likely to win Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
Market line without margin: Faroe Islands 40%, draw 31%, Kazakhstan 29%.