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Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Cluj: prediction and statistics

Romania · Liga I · 20 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Farul Constanta host Universitatea Cluj in Liga I on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Farul Constanta are 6th, Universitatea Cluj 5th in a table of 16.

Farul Constanta arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Universitatea Cluj right now — 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 13 and 13.

The home record of Farul Constanta (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 20 wins, 15 draws and 13 defeats in 48 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. On the road Universitatea Cluj are a dangerous side — 21 wins, 9 draws and 17 defeats in 47 away matches, 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

History favours Universitatea Cluj — 8 wins from 13 meetings with Farul Constanta. Last time out (19 July 2026) it ended Universitatea Cluj 2:1 Farul Constanta. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.

Form

Farul Constanta: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.

Universitatea Cluj: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.

Table: Farul Constanta — 6, Universitatea Cluj — 5 (of 16).

Home and away record

Farul Constanta at home and Universitatea Cluj away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Farul ConstantaUniversitatea Cluj
Matches4847
Wins · draws · losses20-15-1321-9-17
Goals scored per match1.51.2
Goals conceded per match1.21.0

Head to head

13 meetings in our database: Farul Constanta won 2, 3 draws, Universitatea Cluj won 8. Per match: 2.4 goals.

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Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 44% of Farul Constanta home games and 45% of Universitatea Cluj away games.
  • Our model sees an open game: Farul Constanta 31%, draw 26%, Universitatea Cluj 44%.
  • Farul Constanta should win the corner count: 5.5 expected against 4.0 for Universitatea Cluj.
  • Universitatea Cluj has won 8 of the last 13 meetings with Farul Constanta.

Corners

51%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: Farul Constanta 5.5, Universitatea Cluj 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 44%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.

Yellow cards

57%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Farul Constanta 1.9, Universitatea Cluj 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 52%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 48%.

Result

Our model: Farul Constanta win 31%, draw 26%, Universitatea Cluj win 44%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Farul ConstantaUniversitatea Cluj
Win rate42%45%
Over 2.5 goals44%45%
Both teams score65%40%
Total corners per match9.69.7
Over 9.5 corners52%51%
Total yellow cards per match4.14.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards40%38%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 8.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.0 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

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