Farul Constanta vs Universitatea Cluj: prediction and statistics
Romania · Liga I · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Farul Constanta · Universitatea Cluj
Before kick-off
Farul Constanta host Universitatea Cluj in Liga I on 20 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Farul Constanta are 6th, Universitatea Cluj 5th in a table of 16.
Farul Constanta arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Universitatea Cluj right now — 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 13 and 13.
The home record of Farul Constanta (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 20 wins, 15 draws and 13 defeats in 48 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. On the road Universitatea Cluj are a dangerous side — 21 wins, 9 draws and 17 defeats in 47 away matches, 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
History favours Universitatea Cluj — 8 wins from 13 meetings with Farul Constanta. Last time out (19 July 2026) it ended Universitatea Cluj 2:1 Farul Constanta. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.
Form
Farul Constanta: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 8 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Universitatea Cluj: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Farul Constanta — 6, Universitatea Cluj — 5 (of 16).
Home and away record
Farul Constanta at home and Universitatea Cluj away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Farul Constanta | Universitatea Cluj | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 48 | 47 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-15-13 | 21-9-17 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Head to head
13 meetings in our database: Farul Constanta won 2, 3 draws, Universitatea Cluj won 8. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 19.07.2026: Universitatea Cluj 2:1 Farul Constanta
- 21.12.2025: Universitatea Cluj 1:0 Farul Constanta
- 18.08.2025: Farul Constanta 0:1 Universitatea Cluj
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 44% of Farul Constanta home games and 45% of Universitatea Cluj away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Farul Constanta 31%, draw 26%, Universitatea Cluj 44%.
- Farul Constanta should win the corner count: 5.5 expected against 4.0 for Universitatea Cluj.
- Universitatea Cluj has won 8 of the last 13 meetings with Farul Constanta.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: Farul Constanta 5.5, Universitatea Cluj 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Farul Constanta 1.9, Universitatea Cluj 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: Farul Constanta win 31%, draw 26%, Universitatea Cluj win 44%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Farul Constanta | Universitatea Cluj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 42% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 45% |
| Both teams score | 65% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | 9.6 | 9.7 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 51% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 40% | 38% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.1 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.