Fassell vs LPRC Oilers: prediction and statistics

Liberia · LFA First Division · 4 November 2026 · kick-off 16:00 UTC

Team stats: Fassell · LPRC Oilers

Key facts

• Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 42% of Fassell home games and 45% of LPRC Oilers away games.
• Our model makes Fassell the favourite at 53%; a draw is 26%.

Result

Our model: Fassell win 53%, draw 26%, LPRC Oilers win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 45%.

Form

Fassell: last five matches — W-W-D-D-W.

• 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions

LPRC Oilers: last five matches — W-W-W-W-D.

• 7 matches unbeaten · away

Table: Fassell — 3, LPRC Oilers — 4 (of 15).

Team statistics for three seasons

Fassell at home and LPRC Oilers away, 2023–2025.

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Fassell won 2, 1 draws, LPRC Oilers won 1. Per match: 1.2 goals.

• 15.03.2026: LPRC Oilers 0:1 Fassell
• 13.11.2025: Fassell 0:0 LPRC Oilers
• 20.04.2025: Fassell 0:1 LPRC Oilers

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers