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FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Orsha: prediction and statistics

Belarus · First League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off

Yellow cards

72%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 1.6, Orsha 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 38%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 54%, typical match 43%.

Form

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk: last five matches — W-D-W-W-L.

Orsha: last five matches — W-L-D-W-D.

Table: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk — 4, Orsha — 14 (of 18).

Team statistics for three seasons

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk at home and Orsha away, 2024–2026.

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskOrsha
Matches2946
Win rate38%30%
Goals scored per match1.41.2
Goals conceded per match1.42.1
Over 2.5 goals48%59%
Both teams score45%54%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match2.93.4
Over 4.5 yellow cards21%37%

Head to head

6 meetings in our database: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk won 4, 2 draws, Orsha won 0. Per match: 3.3 goals, 3.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many yellow cards in FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Orsha?

Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 28%.

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