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Uni Minsk vs Ostrovets FC: prediction and statistics
Belarus · First League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Uni Minsk 2.1, Ostrovets FC 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 38%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 62%, typical match 57%.
Form
Uni Minsk: last five matches — W-D-L-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Ostrovets FC: last five matches — L-W-W-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Uni Minsk — 15, Ostrovets FC — 11 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Uni Minsk at home and Ostrovets FC away, 2024–2026.
| Uni Minsk | Ostrovets FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 29 | 46 |
| Win rate | 28% | 37% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 48% | 70% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 28% | 36% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Uni Minsk won 1, 0 draws, Ostrovets FC won 2. Per match: 5.7 goals, 1.7 yellow cards.
- 31.05.2026: Ostrovets FC 3:2 Uni Minsk
- 18.10.2025: Ostrovets FC 5:3 Uni Minsk
- 14.06.2025: Uni Minsk 3:1 Ostrovets FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Uni Minsk vs Ostrovets FC?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 42%.