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FC Fredericia vs Hillerød: prediction and statistics
Denmark · 1. Division · 19 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: FC Fredericia · Hillerød
Before kick-off
1. Division, 19 November 2026: FC Fredericia are at home to Hillerød. FC Fredericia go into the match 3rd of 12 in the table, Hillerød are 8th. FC Fredericia are part of the leading group.
Recent results of FC Fredericia are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Hillerød are still looking for a win: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 10 for FC Fredericia against 2 for Hillerød.
FC Fredericia are hard to beat on their own ground — 13 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats in 23 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The away record of Hillerød: 10 wins, 14 draws and 15 defeats in 39 matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 9 meetings — wins: FC Fredericia 5, Hillerød 3; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished Hillerød 0:2 FC Fredericia. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
FC Fredericia: last five matches — L-W-D-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Hillerød: last five matches — D-L-D-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: FC Fredericia — 3, Hillerød — 8 (of 12).
Home and away record
FC Fredericia at home and Hillerød away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC Fredericia | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 23 | 39 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-5-5 | 10-14-15 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Head to head
9 meetings in our database: FC Fredericia won 5, 1 draws, Hillerød won 3. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 10.10.2026: Hillerød 0:2 FC Fredericia
- 07.03.2025: FC Fredericia 0:2 Hillerød
- 23.09.2024: Hillerød 0:3 FC Fredericia
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- FC Fredericia is the more likely winner in our model: 54%, draw 23%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 56% of FC Fredericia’s home matches and 51% of Hillerød’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards: FC Fredericia 1.4, Hillerød 1.8; typical match of the competition — 3.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 22% (typical match — 29%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 60%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: FC Fredericia win 54%, draw 23%, Hillerød win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| FC Fredericia | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 57% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 51% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 9% | 15% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.