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FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana: prediction and statistics
Mexico · Liga MX · 10 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: FC Juarez 5.2, Club Tijuana 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.8. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: FC Juarez 2.2, Club Tijuana 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: FC Juarez win 32%, draw 27%, Club Tijuana win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Form
FC Juarez: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
Club Tijuana: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: FC Juarez — 18, Club Tijuana — 8 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
FC Juarez at home and Club Tijuana away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| FC Juarez | Club Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 39 |
| Win rate | 33% | 23% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 41% | 39% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 45% | 41% |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: FC Juarez won 4, 4 draws, Club Tijuana won 6. Per match: 2.5 goals, 9.4 corners, 4.9 yellow cards.
- 11.04.2026: FC Juarez 1:2 Club Tijuana
- 21.11.2025: Club Tijuana 3:1 FC Juarez
- 26.07.2025: Club Tijuana 1:1 FC Juarez
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
Our model expects 9.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 49%.
How many yellow cards in FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 46%.
Who is more likely to win FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
Market line without margin: FC Juarez 32%, draw 27%, Club Tijuana 41%.